Possible scenario
Limited Double Counting
30% Chance
A moderate-probability outcome is that double counting occurred at one mine or processing division but did not represent companywide manipulation. The event leads to a production restatement, internal disciplinary action, and a modest reassessment of Chilean copper supply data.
Initial impacts
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +0.3%
Tickers
- FCX+0.7%
- SCCO+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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