Possible scenario
Broader Statistics Review
18% Chance
Authorities expand the review beyond the original incident to assess whether Codelco's production data systems have systematic weaknesses. This does not necessarily imply fraud, but it creates uncertainty around Chile's reported copper output and short-term supply estimates.
Initial impacts
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +0.6%
Tickers
- FCX+1.0%
- SCCO+1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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