Contained Iranian Retaliation

Iran follows through on its threat after a U.S. heavy strike, but the retaliation is calibrated below all-out war. Missile, drone, cyber, or proxy attacks hit U.S. bases and Gulf-linked targets, forcing air defense operations and temporary aviation or energy precautions.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.