Possible scenario
AI Capacity Slows
25% Chance
Local officials respond to the publicity by pausing or slowing some data-center grid connections in power-constrained provinces. The national AI strategy remains intact, but investors price in execution risk, higher energy costs, and slower compute deployment inside China.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.7%
- Telecommunications -0.9%
- Utilities -0.5%
- Industrials +0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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