Republicans Contain Losses
−0.1%
Republicans retain most Southern statehouse power despite losing the aggregate House and Senate popular vote across the region. The party uses incumbency, rural turnout operations and state legislative control to blunt Democratic gains before the 2028 cycle.
What it moves
- Energy+0.3%
- Consumer Cyclicals−0.2%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.