Possible scenario
Rumors Persist
25% Chance
Despite the audio debunk and home video, Paxton-aligned figures continue pushing questions about Talarico's absence and health. The race becomes more negative, with attention diverted from policy debates to credibility, media verification, and campaign transparency.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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