Possible scenario
Full Retrial Proceeds
45% Chance
Prosecutors proceed with a second jury trial after the September 2026 mistrial. Patrick Clancy's continued support for a lack-of-criminal-responsibility defense becomes a central feature of the defense presentation, but the state still argues the killings were intentional.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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