Possible scenario
Major Flooding Mexico
30% Chance
Polo's wind field weakens, but moisture from the hurricane produces dangerous rainfall across western and northwestern Mexico. Flooded highways, landslides, agricultural damage, and temporary port or airport closures become the dominant story.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.6%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.3%
- Industrials -0.3%
- Utilities -0.3%
- Finance -0.2%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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