Possible scenario
Livestream Proceeds
30% Chance
The Pentagon and Army withstand legal and political objections and move ahead with a tightly controlled livestream. This outcome is plausible if courts treat the broadcast as an internal military-transparency decision rather than a new punishment.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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