Possible scenario
Debt Overhang Persists
30% Chance
Investors remain unconvinced by the CEO’s comments because the company still needs cheap capital to fund GPU-heavy data-center growth. The selloff stays mostly contained to AI-infrastructure credit and related technology shares.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.8%
- Finance -0.3%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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