Possible scenario
Partial Legal Loss
25% Chance
The court rejects the broad ban but leaves room for the White House to impose narrower pool rules, security procedures, or rotating limits. Trump can claim partial compliance while preserving some leverage over access.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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