Possible scenario
Clean Mission Closure
40% Chance
Starship completes a controlled deorbit and SpaceX frames the early ending as a conservative test decision rather than a failure. Flight data show orbit insertion, payload deployment, attitude control, and reentry planning met enough objectives to support another near-term FAA license update.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.2%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- SPCX+2.9%
- RKLB+0.9%
- VSAT-0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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