Possible scenario
Acton Withstands Blitz
32% Chance
Amy Acton keeps her polling advantage by framing the Yass donation as outside billionaire influence over Ohio education policy. The Acton campaign benefits from backlash among suburban women, public-school advocates, and voters skeptical of nationalized state races.
Tickers
- LRN-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.