Possible scenario
Managed Bank Reopening
45% Chance
The central bank turns the signal into a cautious reversal, allowing regulated banks to offer crypto custody and limited trading through licensed partners. This fits Milei's second-term deregulation agenda while preserving IMF and anti-money-laundering safeguards.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- MELI+1.0%
- +0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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