Possible scenario
El-Sayed Stabilizes
30% Chance
El-Sayed frames the defection and Rogers's attack ad as part of a coordinated effort to smear a Muslim candidate and divide Democrats. Progressive groups, civil-rights organizations, and key county-level Democratic officials move quickly to reinforce his campaign.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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