Possible scenario
Backlash Hits Rogers
20% Chance
The attack-ad language becomes the dominant story, overshadowing the state representative's endorsement. Civil-rights leaders, Muslim organizations, and some moderate Republicans criticize Rogers, forcing his campaign to defend the ad rather than focus on El-Sayed's vulnerabilities.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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