Possible scenario
Democrats Neutralize Challenge
18% Chance
A Democratic House majority would make Burchett's effort largely moot. Hakeem Jeffries and New York Democrats would likely frame the challenge as an anti-democratic attempt to overturn a lawful district election.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.