Possible scenario
Tafoya contains damage
42% Chance
Tafoya quickly frames the deleted tweet as an old expression of frustration rather than contempt for Minnesota voters. Republican surrogates keep the race centered on Tim Walz-era fraud allegations and public safety, limiting the electoral damage.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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