Possible scenario
Capacity Remains Bottleneck
25% Chance
AI accelerator revenue still beats the prior guide, but the pace of upside is capped by CoWoS, substrate and HBM availability. The market response is mixed because demand is strong, yet shipment timing remains vulnerable.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.5%
Tickers
- TSM-2.0%
- NVDA-1.5%
- AMD-0.7%
- AVGO-0.6%
- MU+0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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