Possible scenario
Convict Release Scrutiny
25% Chance
Polezhayev's death prompts renewed attention to Russian practices of releasing or shielding convicted officials and prisoners after service in Ukraine. The focus remains political and legal rather than financial-market relevant.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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