Militant Cell Escalates

Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, or a local armed faction may claim or endorse the shooting, especially if the attacker is tied to an organized cell. That would increase the chance of follow-on attacks and a sharper Israeli security response, though the base case would still be contained within the West Bank.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.