Possible scenario
Abortion Message Breaks
21% Chance
The post-Roe electoral pattern from 2023 reappears as abortion access dominates late messaging in key suburbs. Democratic candidates outperform their ad-share disadvantage where Republican nominees take restrictive abortion positions.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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