Possible scenario
SEC Slows Process
25% Chance
The SEC permits filings but slows the path to effectiveness through comments on leverage, derivatives exposure, and retail suitability. This would not reverse the rule change, but it would reduce near-term enthusiasm for a rapid product rollout.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-1.1%
- CBOE-0.7%
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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