Possible scenario
Resignation Contains Fallout
42% Chance
The White House and State Department frame Kimberly Guilfoyle's resignation as sufficient accountability and avoid a prolonged public fight. Officials preserve records and brief Congress privately, but no major new evidence surfaces immediately.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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