Possible scenario
Buybacks Stabilize Market
45% Chance
The Ministry of Economy and Finance executes emergency buybacks quickly enough to cap the spike in Korean government bond yields. The move reassures domestic insurers, banks and pension funds that authorities will not allow disorderly trading to persist.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- US dollar Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.7%
- Technology +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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