Possible scenario
Managed Entry Proceeds
40% Chance
Chinese EVs begin entering the U.S. through a narrow legal channel despite the failed Trump-Xi summit. The administration allows entry while using safety, data-security, and customs reviews to limit volumes and preserve leverage.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -1.0%
- Industrials -0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Tickers
- TSLA-4.4%
- GMM.USD-2.7%
- RIVN-1.9%
- -1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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