Possible scenario
Courts Narrow Program
25% Chance
Opposition lawmakers, immigration lawyers, and civil-rights groups challenge the new route, arguing that citizenship rules require congressional authority and equal-treatment safeguards. Courts allow some residency-linked investment rules but slow or narrow automatic access to citizenship.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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