Possible scenario
Oversight Probe Expands
38% Chance
Congressional Republicans and civil-liberties groups treat the concealed lawyer targets as evidence of a broader Justice Department process failure. The most likely path is an expanded oversight record rather than immediate criminal exposure for Jack Smith or his aides.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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