Possible scenario
Case Stalls Procedurally
20% Chance
The court focuses on standing, remedy, and jurisdiction rather than the political substance of the allegations. This is a realistic outcome because campaign-finance and taxpayer-use suits often face threshold barriers before reaching merits discovery.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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