Possible scenario
Relief Holds
45% Chance
The most likely path is that the 14.7-cent decline marks the start of a modest, durable easing in U.S. diesel prices. ExxonMobil's Joliet refinery restoration and stronger domestic supply offset part of the pressure from Russia's extended export ban.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
- Industrials +0.3%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.3%
Tickers
- VLO-1.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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