Possible scenario
Congress Opens Inquiry
40% Chance
Congress formally launches a probe into Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle's alleged role in pushing an LNG deal through an undisclosed lobbyist and seeking an undocumented $100,000 Amex payment. This is the most likely path because lawmakers had already called for scrutiny and the State Department has opened its own corruption probe.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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