Possible scenario
Treatment Limits Papacy
25% Chance
The Vatican may disclose that surgery was only the first stage of treatment, requiring chemotherapy, radiation, or immunotherapy. Leo XIV remains pope, but the curia and senior cardinals take on a larger operational role.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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