Possible scenario
Emergency Containment
38% Chance
Regulators and enterprise customers treat the 97% RoboHarm failure rate as evidence that GPT-6 Astra is not ready for embodied deployment. OpenAI faces formal information requests and pauses some robotics integrations while it tries to show that its expanded safety disclosure rules are sufficient.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.2%
- Industrials -1.4%
- Business Services +0.7%
Tickers
- MSFT-1.4%
- TSLA-1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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