Possible scenario
Seizure-Only Expansion
25% Chance
The legal clearance allows the government to increase the reserve mainly by retaining and consolidating seized Bitcoin rather than buying in the open market. This validates the reserve framework but limits immediate demand impact.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- COIN+1.5%
- -1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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