Possible scenario
Strict Safety Conditions
20% Chance
Croatian and Czech approvals survive, but regulators impose detailed reporting, driver-attention safeguards, and incident-notification obligations. This slows marketing claims and limits near-term take-up while preserving Tesla’s regulatory path.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.