Possible scenario
Campaign Stalls
20% Chance
Anti-Houthi forces struggle with coordination, logistics, and rival priorities among the PLC, Islah-linked units, southern separatists, and tribal fighters. The Houthis absorb the initial attack and turn the battlefield into another costly war of attrition.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
- Industrials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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