Possible scenario
Investigations Expand Quietly
30% Chance
The reported birth-year change becomes another data point in the already reported immigration and financial-disclosure probes. Investigators seek to determine whether the change was an innocent correction, a campaign-record issue, or connected to broader document questions.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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