Possible scenario
Democratic Split Deepens
20% Chance
The report fails to change the underlying problem for El-Sayed: some Democrats still view him as too risky in a competitive Senate race. Rogers' alleged surrogate-padding matters less than visible Democratic reluctance to unify.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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