Possible scenario
Political Backlash Builds
20% Chance
Opponents of the failed CLARITY Act argue that the CFTC is trying to enact rejected legislation through regulation. The rulemaking continues, but threats of litigation, funding restrictions, or Congressional Review Act action reduce confidence in a clean implementation.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.5%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-4.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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