Possible scenario
Interagency Slowdown
27% Chance
The proposal gets caught in White House interagency review as the SEC, Treasury, and banking regulators seek changes. This outcome is plausible because the Senate vote exposed unresolved disputes over token classification, custody, and investor-protection standards.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
Tickers
- COIN-2.3%
- MSTR-1.2%
- -1.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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