Possible scenario
Rout Deepens Further
31% Chance
The president’s public plea may be read as confirmation that the selloff is reaching a social and political crisis stage. If no credible support arrives quickly, foreign investors and leveraged retail accounts could continue de-risking, extending the pressure on Korean chipmakers, brokers, banks, and growth shares.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Bitcoin Down
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -3.7%
- Finance
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-2.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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