Possible scenario
Federal Case Fades
45% Chance
The most likely path is that the halted grand jury probe becomes a de facto end to federal criminal exposure for Meta. The Trump DOJ can frame the decision as a prioritization call while Meta emphasizes cooperation and investments in ad review systems.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.4%
- Consumer Services +0.3%
Tickers
- META+3.2%
- SNAP+0.8%
- GOOG+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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