Possible scenario
Copper Tightness Persists
18% Chance
Even with Centinela returning, copper supply concerns do not fully disappear because investors remain focused on BHP's Escondida strike and Chilean operating risks. Antofagasta gains some relief, but the broader copper market continues to price near-term disruption risk.
Initial impacts
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
Tickers
- FCX+0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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