Possible scenario
Criminal Case Expands
40% Chance
The most likely path is a widening state criminal case focused on abuse, custody, and how the children were obtained through surrogacy arrangements. Prosecutors in California would likely use financial records, agency contracts, medical files, and witness testimony to determine whether the couple acted alone or relied on facilitators.
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare -0.1%
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
- PGNY-0.8%
- COO-0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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