Possible scenario
Rogers Builds Lead
38% Chance
The reports of lifelong Democrats crossing over prove representative of a broader blue-collar shift in Michigan. Rogers consolidates support in Macomb, Monroe, Bay and parts of suburban Oakland County, making the Republican path to victory increasingly plausible.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.5%
- Industrials +0.4%
- Energy +0.2%
Tickers
- +0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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