Possible scenario
Narrow Lead Stabilizes
35% Chance
Democrats keep a small statewide registration advantage after county-level updates settle, but the margin remains far below historic Democratic leads in North Carolina. The practical effect is limited because unaffiliated voters remain the largest and fastest-moving bloc.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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