Possible scenario
Serious Injury Event
20% Chance
A less likely but plausible outcome is that passengers or crew sustain injuries during the ground collision or evacuation. This would make the event more material for the airlines and strengthen calls for immediate FAA intervention, but it would still fall short of a systemic market shock.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -2.1%
Tickers
- DAL-5.3%
- AC-4.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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