Possible scenario
Cautious Regulator Framework
30% Chance
Congress authorizes banks to participate but delegates key limits to the Federal Reserve, OCC, FDIC, and Treasury. The resulting approach permits custody and issuance, but with conservative capital, liquidity, segregation, and examination requirements that slow rollout.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.4%
Tickers
- BNY+1.3%
- STT+1.0%
- -0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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