Possible scenario
Evidence Fight Expands
20% Chance
The surfaced texts create a new legal battleground over authentication, context, chain of custody, and whether investigators properly obtained device data. This path does not necessarily end the prosecution, but it could slow the case and narrow what jurors eventually hear.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.