Possible scenario
Police Negotiate Compromise
18% Chance
The Met Police uses conditions short of a ban to reduce tensions, negotiating a shorter route or earlier end time with organizers. Jewish community groups and counter-protest organizers remain critical, but the immediate public-order risk is reduced.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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